Trump in trouble? Vice President Kamala Harris reaches record support, young voters lead in 2024 election poll

Vice President Kamala Harris equalizes a record lead Donald Trump in a weekly exit poll less than three months before the 2024 presidential election.

What happened: Harris continues to regain support for the Democratic Party in direct duels with Trump since she secured her party's nomination immediately after President Joe Biden dropped out of the race.

A new Morning Consult poll of registered voters nationwide shows Harris ahead of Trump ahead of the four-day Democratic National Convention.

The new poll shows the following voter results, with the results from the August 13 poll in parentheses.

• Kamala Harris: 48% (47%)
• Donald Trump: 44% (44%)
• Someone else: 4% (4%)
• I do not know: 4% (4%)

The poll found that 90 percent of Democrats support Harris as their first choice, consistent with last week's poll. The poll also found that 89 percent of Republicans support Trump as their first candidate, down one percentage point from the previous week.

Independent voters chose the following as their preference in direct comparison, with the results of the August 13 poll shown in parentheses:

• Kamala Harris: 42% (42%)
• Donald Trump: 38% (37%)
• Someone else: 11% (12%)
• I do not know: 9% (9%)

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Why it is important: Harris continues to lead Trump in the weekly head-to-head poll since she became the Democratic candidate in the 2024 election.

Harris' lead of four percentage points is one percentage point higher than the previous week and is her highest weekly lead since her candidacy in the weekly polls.

This lead came after Trump extended his lead over Biden to six points before dropping out of the race.

Harris' lead among independent voters shrinks slightly from five points to four. Harris continues to lead by a wide margin among young voters aged 18 to 34. The vice president recorded a 50% to 40% lead among the 18- to 34-year-old voting group in the latest poll. The 10-point lead is a record for Harris and the largest by any candidate among this important voting group in the 2024 election cycle.

Among voters aged 18 to 34, Biden was nine percentage points behind Trump before he dropped out of the race.

In the new poll, Harris has a positive rating of 50% and a negative rating of 45%, improving from last week's ratings (49% and 47%, respectively). The five-point net popularity rating is a record for Harris and her fourth consecutive week with a positive net popularity rating.

Trump's net favorability rating fell five points this week, an improvement from the previous week's minus 12 points, his lowest rating in several months.

Harris' Net Buzz rating remained high, with 43% of voters saying they had heard something positive about the vice president and 31% saying they had heard something negative about Harris. This was the fourth consecutive week of double-digit Net Buzz ratings for Harris.

Harris's four-percentage-point lead over Trump comes after Morning Consult recently released a poll of swing states that showed the vice president leading by 48 percent to 47 percent in seven key states. The vice president was ahead of Trump in four of the seven swing states (Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Wisconsin), tied in one (Georgia) and behind in two (North Carolina, Pennsylvania).

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