Braves vs. Phillies odds, prediction, start time: 2024 MLB tips, Sunday Night Baseball betting based on proven model

The Atlanta Braves will try to tie their four-game series with the Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday Night Baseball. Philadelphia has won two of the first three games of the series, including a 3-0 victory on Saturday night. The Braves (74-62), who are second in the National League East, have a 38-34 road record in 2024. The Phillies (80-56), who are first in the NL East and six games ahead of Atlanta, have a 46-25 home record this season.

First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. Philadelphia is the -130 money line favorite (risk $130 to win $100) in the latest Braves vs. Phillies odds from SportsLine Consensus, while the total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 8. Before placing your Phillies vs. Braves picks, be sure to check out the MLB predictions and betting tips from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and entering Week 23 of the MLB season, the record is 29-13 on the top-rated run-line picks (+1010) dating back to last season.

Now the model has set its sights on Braves vs. Phillies and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Braves vs. Phillies:

• Braves vs. Phillies Money Line: Atlanta +110, Philadelphia -130
• Braves vs. Phillies over/under: 8 runs
• Braves vs. Phillies Run Line: Philadelphia -1.5 (+160)
• ATL: The Braves have reached the moneyline of the first five innings in 15 of their last 20 away games (+12.75 units)
• PHI: The Phillies have underperformed the team total in 25 of their last 38 home games (+10.90 units)
• Braves vs. Phillies Picks: See Picks at SportsLine

Why you should support the Phillies

Philadelphia is expected to send right-hander Aaron Nola (12-6, 3:30 ERA) to the mound. He will make his 28th start of the year. In 166.1 innings, Nola has allowed 151 hits, 61 earned runs and 42 walks, and has 153 strikeouts. In his last outing, he picked up a win in a 5-0 victory over the Houston Astros on Tuesday. He pitched seven innings, allowing four hits and one walk, and had six strikeouts. In 36 career starts against the Braves, he is 16-11 with a 3.60 ERA.

Among Philadelphia's best hitters is shortstop Trea Turner. He hit 1-for-4 and hit a home run in Saturday's win over Atlanta. He has played in 95 games this season, posting a .299 batting average with 20 doubles, 15 home runs, 48 ​​RBIs and 70 runs scored. He has always hit the Braves well. In 123 career games against Atlanta, he posted a .291 batting average with 27 doubles, six triples, 22 home runs and 66 RBIs. Here's which team to pick.

Why you should support the Braves

Right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach (5-6, 3.72 ERA) will start for Atlanta. Schwellenbach has made 15 starts this season, pitching 87 innings and allowing 75 hits, 36 earned runs and 18 walks with 102 strikeouts. He has won two of his last three decisions and is 2-0 against the Phillies this season. In his last win, a 3-2 triumph over Philadelphia on Aug. 22, he pitched 6.2 innings, allowing three hits, two earned runs and a walk and notching nine strikeouts.

Among the Braves' best hitters is designated hitter Marcell Ozuna. The 12th-year veteran has a .307 batting average in 136 games this season, including 27 doubles, 37 home runs, 98 RBIs and 85 runs scored. His five-game hitting streak was snapped on Saturday. He has always hit well in Philadelphia. In 101 career games, he has a .273 batting average, with 24 doubles, 22 home runs, 67 RBIs and 62 runs scored. Here's which team to choose.

How to make your predictions for the Braves vs. Phillies game

SportsLine's model is leaning over on total runs, predicting 9.3 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. Get MLB model picks only at SportsLine.

So who will win the Braves vs. Phillies game and which side has the greater value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you should bet on, all based on the model that has a 29-13 success rate on top-rated MLB run line picks, and find out.