Yazmin Jauregui vs. Ketlen Souza Pick, 14.09.2024 Predictions UFC 306 Odds

Yazmin Jauregui vs Ketlen Souza

UFC306

The Sphere in Las Vegas

Saturday, September 14, 2024

Yazmin Jauregui will step into the Octagon against Ketlen Souza at UFC 306 on Saturday, September 14, 2024. The moneyline is -500 for Jauregui and +380 for Souza.

Yazmin Jauregui holds a career record of 11-1-0. The 25-year-old weighs 115 pounds and measures 5'3″. The orthodox fighter has a reach of 64″. Ketlen “Esquentadinha” Souza measures 5'3″ and weighs 115 pounds. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 14-4-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 63″. When it comes to significant strikes, Yazmin Jauregui lands 6.26 per minute while Ketlen Souza lands 4.78 significant strikes per minute. Jauregui lands 38% of the significant strikes she attempts while Souza lands 68%. In terms of defense in the cage, Jauregui takes 5.12 significant strikes per minute while “Esquentadinha” allows 2.03. Jauregui also stops 55% of her opponents' heavy punches, while Souza blocks 60% of the punches thrown her way.

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When it comes to wrestling, Yazmin Jauregui is not as efficient a wrestler as she takes her opponents down 0.70 times per 15 minutes. Jauregui completes 15% of her takedown attempts and thwarts 85% of her opponents' takedown attempts. Souza takes her opponents down on 50% of her takedown attempts and thwarts 50% of all takedown attempts made against her. When it comes to sub attempts, Jauregui is the less skilled of the two fighters as she attempts 0.3 subs per 15 minutes while Souza attempts 0.7 subs per 3 rounds.

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In her last appearance in the Octagon, Yazmin Jauregui faced Sam Hughes, earning the night's win via unanimous decision in Round 3. Hughes landed 88 of the 206 total punches she blocked. Jauregui finished the night with 97 of the 272 total punches thrown. In the significant punches category, Hughes landed 83 of 197, giving her a 42% rate. She finished the fight with 40 of 143 significant punches to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Jauregui landed 34% of her significant punches, landing 94 of 269. Of those significant punches, 52 of 197 were to the head. 96% of the significant punches landed by Hughes and 89% of the punches thrown by Jauregui were from distance.

In her last fight, Ketlen Souza fought Marnic Mann and won that fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Mann landed 90% of her significant punches from distance and Souza landed 88% of her significant punches from distance. Souza landed 68% of her attempted significant punches by landing 80 of 116. She landed 38 of 69 significant punches aimed to the head. Mann landed 31 of 77 significant punches in this fight. As far as accuracy of significant punches, she landed 8 of 39 aimed to the head. As far as total punches attempted in this fight, Mann landed 111 of 159 and Souza landed 93 of 132 punches she threw total.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is Sean O'Malley vs. Merab Dvalishvili. O'Malley enters the Octagon with a record of 18-1-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old weighs 135 pounds and stands 5'11″. The switch fighter has a reach of 72″. Dvalishvili stands 5'6″ and weighs 135 pounds. The orthodox fighter is looking to add a win to his career record of 17-4-0. The 33-year-old has a reach of 68″. In terms of takedowns, Sean O'Malley puts his opponents on the mat 0.35 times per 3 rounds and Merab Dvalishvili averages 6.43 takedowns per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, O'Malley lands an average of 7.63 punches per minute and lands 61% of the punches he attempts. The other fighter in this fight is Merab Dvalishvili, who lands 41% of his punches and scores 4.50 per minute.

Another fight to watch is Diego Lopes vs. Brian Ortega. Ortega holds a record of 16-3-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old weighs in at 145 pounds and measures 5'8″. The switch fighter stands 69 inches tall. Lopes is 5'11″ and weighs in at 145 pounds. The orthodox fighter enters the Octagon with a record of 25-6-0. The 29-year-old stands 72 inches tall. When it comes to takedowns, Brian Ortega thwarts 57% of his opponents' takedowns and scores a takedown on 27% of his attempts. Lopes completes his takedowns on 25% of his attempts and is able to stop 46% of all takedown attempts against him. When it comes to striking, Ortega takes 6.54 punches per minute and dishes out 4.07 punches per minute. Lopes, on the other hand, takes 4.08 punches per minute and lands 3.24 per minute.

Who will win today’s UFC fight against the spread?

Guy Bruhns tip: Take Yazmin Jauregui (-500)

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