Du Plessis vs. Adesanya odds, UFC 305 predictions, tips, time: Top fight card bets from proven MMA expert

Dricus Du Plessis looks to defend his UFC middleweight title against Israel Adesanya in the main event of UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya on Saturday at 10 p.m. ET from RAC Arena in Perth, Australia. Adesanya is a former two-time champion in that weight class. Du Plessis defeated Sean Strickland in January at UFC 297 to capture the UFC middleweight title. Adesanya, meanwhile, lost to Strickland by unanimous decision at UFC 293 and will lose the middleweight title in September 2023.

Adesanya is a slight favorite at -115 (risk $115 to win $100), while Du Plessis is the underdog at -105 (risk $105 to win $100), according to the latest UFC 305 odds. Before you make your decision on UFC 305, be sure to check out SportsLine expert Kyle Marley's MMA predictions and betting tips.

Marley won the first ever “ToutMaster” UFC betting competition sponsored by MMAOddsBreaker and is a regular on several MMA betting and daily fantasy shows. He watches every single fight for every professional MMA card and does extensive research before each event.

Since 2018, $100 bets following Marley's picks have gained nearly $22,000. The accomplished MMA analyst has delivered consistent winners to SportsLine members over the past four years. His accomplishments include scoring five consecutive underdog main event victories in 2020 following the UFC's brief hiatus due to the pandemic. He went 7-3 on the last card. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now that UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Israel Adesanya is just around the corner, Marley has studied the UFC 305 card from top to bottom and revealed his top picks and best bets. You can see Marley's MMA picks and analysis only at SportsLine.

UFC 305: Preview between Du Plessis and Adesanya

Du Plessis has dominated for nearly six years. He hasn't suffered a loss since being knocked out in the third round of Poland's KSW 45 for the welterweight championship in October 2018. Since then, he is 9-0, including five wins by knockout, two by submission and two by decision. The performance of the night came on July 8, 2023 at UFC 290 with a second-round knockout of Robert Whittaker in a UFC middleweight title eliminator.

Du Plessis began his professional career in July 2013 when he made his middleweight debut, defeating Tshikangu Makuebo by TKO at EFC 21 in Gauteng, South Africa. He went 4-0 before suffering his first loss at EFC 33 in August 2014 for the EFC Middleweight Championship, losing by submission to Garreth McLellan at 2:12 of the third round. In his career, Du Plessis has a record of 21-2, with 10 wins by submission, nine by KO and two by decision.

Adesanya, 35, has dominated since turning pro 12 years ago, earning a TKO victory over James Griffiths in his first fight in March 2012 at Supremacy Fighting Championship 9. He won his first 20 fights, including his first nine in the UFC. He is currently ranked No. 2 in the UFC middleweight rankings and is 13th in the UFC men's rankings by pound.

Adesanya has been successful in three combat sports. During his professional boxing career, he has a record of 5-1, 75-5 in kickboxing, and 24-3 in MMA. In April 2019, he won the UFC interim middleweight title at UFC 236, and in October 2019, he won and unified the UFC middleweight crown. Adesanya has fought for the middleweight title nine times, losing only three times. He most recently held the UFC middleweight title last year before losing to Strickland. Find all of Marley's UFC 305 tips here.

Top expert predictions for UFC 305

One of Marley's top picks for UFC 305: He's betting on Jair Rozenstruik (-235) to defeat Tai Tuivasa (+195) in a heavyweight bout on the main card.

Rozenstruik, 36, is the UFC's 12th-ranked heavyweight and is coming off a TKO victory over Shamil Gaziev on March 2 at UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev. He has had a solid career so far, compiling an overall record of 14-5. He is known for his striking power and has 13 wins by knockout and one by decision. He won his first 10 fights after turning pro in 2012.

Tuivasa, 31, is looking to end a four-fight losing streak after starting his career 14-3. He lost to Marcin Tybura by first-round technical submission at UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura in March of this year. He began his professional mixed martial arts career in July 2012 and won his first nine fights. Of his 14 wins, 13 were by knockout and one by decision.

“Tuivasa needs a KO to win this fight in my opinion,” Marley told SportsLine. “Neither of them has a wrestling/grappling game and Rozenstruik is the much more versatile striker. I'm tipping Rozenstruik to get the KO, but if the cards are anything to go by, I think he would win any round.” Here's who else to pick.

How to make UFC 305 tips

Marley has strong picks for UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya and every other fight on the UFC 305 card. He also backs a fighter who “avoids early danger and eventually scores a TKO.” Marley's expert picks and analysis are only available at SportsLine.

Who will win UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya and how exactly will each fight end? Visit SportsLine now for detailed picks on every fight at UFC 305, all from the incomparable expert who has earned nearly $22,000 in MMA since 2018, and find out.

UFC 305 odds, fight card

You can find all tips, predictions and best bets for UFC 305 here.
Israel Adesanya (-115) vs. Dricus Du Plessis (-105)
Steve Erceg (-230) vs. Kai Kara-France (+190)
Mateusz Gamrot (-360) against Dan Hooker (+280)
Jair Rozenstruik (-235) vs. Tai Tuivasa (+190)
Carlos Prates (-270) against Li Jingliang (+220)
Junior Tafa (-112) vs. Valter Walker (-110)
Josh Culibao (-175) vs. Ricardo Ramos (+145)
Luana Santos (-155) vs. Casey O'Neill (+130)
Jack Jenkins (-600) against Herbert Burns (+440)
Tom Nolan (-1050) against Alex Reyes (+675)
Kenan Song (-230) vs. Rick Glenn (+190)
Stewart Nicoll (-218) against Jesus Aguilar (+180)