Trump in trouble: Vice President Harris leads 2024 election odds, here's what swing state odds look like – USData (OTC:USDC)

A head-to-head duel between Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris Less than three months before the 2024 presidential election, the situation remains relatively balanced.

What happened: Harris is ahead in most polls for the 2024 election, while Trump continues to have a better chance of winning the 2024 election than the Vice President, according to prediction markets.

The betting odds between the two candidates are Bet365as Covers reports. Harris has a slight lead with odds of -120, while Trump is just behind at +100 on August 26.

On Friday, the two candidates were tied in the betting odds, ahead of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. He suspended his election campaign to help Trump.

Trump was listed earlier this month with odds of -125 versus +100 for Harris.

Based on the latest betting odds, Harris' chance of winning the 2024 election is 54.6%, while Trump has a 50% chance of winning.

In the ranking behind the two top candidates are JD Vance at +8,000 and Nikki Haley And Michelle Obama both are at +10,000. Kennedy Jr., who will remain on the ballot in select states, has odds of winning at +15,000.

Trump's odds were -250 in July after an assassination attempt. At that time, President Joe Biden was still in the race and had odds of +500, followed by Harris at +800.

In June, Trump's odds were -175 after the first presidential debate, followed by Harris at +400 and Biden at +800 as talks of his resignation gained momentum.

The current odds are most similar to those in May, when Trump was the favorite (-110) and Biden was close behind at +130.

Consider that in January 2021, Harris was the favorite for the 2024 election with +350 odds based on the assumption that Biden would not seek re-election. Biden and Trump were behind Harris at the time with +400 and +650 odds, respectively.

Prediction market Polymarketwhich describes itself as the world's largest prediction market, offers bets on topics from categories such as politics, sports, cryptocurrency, pop culture and more.

On Polymarket, users can deposit funds with USDC USDC/USD about the polygon MCT/USD Network or directly from a crypto account with ether ETH/USD. In each betting market the winning option is $1.

One of the biggest prediction markets on the site is the 2024 election winner, with over $739 million wagered. Trump is the slight favorite on Polymarket at 50%, followed by Harris at 49%. Trump had a larger lead in recent weeks before Harris narrowed the gap again.

Similar to sports betting, the prediction market is a head-to-head race between the two candidates.

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Why it is important: Not only has Harris improved the Democratic Party's chances of winning the 2024 election since exit polls showed Biden dropping out, but the vice president has also improved the chances of winning in swing states.

A recent Morning Consult poll shows Harris with a four-point lead over Trump among registered voters nationwide. A Morning Consult/Bloomberg poll of voters in seven key swing states showed Harris with an overall lead of 48% to 47%. Harris is ahead of Trump in five of the seven states, tied in one and behind Trump in one.

These seven swing states together represent 93 electoral votes and could decide the 2024 election. Six of the seven swing states were won by Biden in the 2020 election, five lost compared to Trump's victory in 2016.

Bet365’s odds show the following chances for the two candidates to win in six of the swing states:

Pennsylvania: Harris -125, Trump -110

Michigan: Harris -225, Trump +162

North Carolina: Harris +137, Trump -188

Wisconsin: Harris -175, Trump +125

Georgia: Harris +137, Trump -188

Arizona: Harris -110, Trump -125

Harris is the favorite in four of the six swing states, with Trump having a better chance of winning in North Carolina and Georgia. Biden won five of the six states mentioned above in the 2020 election, with Trump winning North Carolina.

On Polymarket, the Democratic Party is considered the favorite for Michigan and Wisconsin, while Trump's Republican Party is considered the favorite for Georgia, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Arizona.

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Photo: Andrew Angelov via Shutterstock