“Shogun” and “The Bear” are expected to make big profits

Top line

“Shogun” and “The Bear” are expected to score big wins at Sunday night's Emmy Awards, which producers say will lean heavily on nostalgia and celebrate the history of television – much like the postponed Emmys in January.

Key data

Who is likely to win the most prizes?

With 25 nominations, FX's drama series “Shogun,” set in 17th century Japan, has the best chance of winning big on Sunday. Many publications, including the Los Angeles Times, Variety and The Hollywood Reporter, expect the series to take home the award for outstanding drama series. Hiroyuki Sanada and Anna Sawai are also projected by those publications to win in the lead actor and lead actress categories. Likewise, awards experts predict that “The Bear” — which received 23 nominations this year, the most ever for a comedy series in a single year — will dominate the awards. Jeremy Allen-White could win in the outstanding comedy series and lead actor categories. “Baby Reindeer,” a big ratings hit for Netflix, is projected by many publications to win the outstanding miniseries category.

Important background

The Creative Arts Emmy Awards last weekend saw many Emmy Awards handed out in the technical and guest acting categories. “Shogun” dominated the competition, winning a record-breaking 14 awards, more than ever for a single season of a series – and the main Emmy ceremony hasn't even taken place yet. The series won a guest acting award for Néstor Carbonell, as well as awards for cinematography, stunts, editing and more. “The Bear” won seven awards last weekend, including a guest acting award for Jamie Lee Curtis, her first-ever Emmy win.

tangent

Some Emmy nominees are among the highest-paid showrunners of the past year, according to a Forbes analysis. “The Simpsons” showrunners James L. Brooks and Matt Groening were the third-highest-paid showrunners of the past year with $135 million in earnings, although they lost the animated series Emmy to “Blue Eye Samurai” last weekend. Larry David is the eighth-highest-paid showrunner of the past year with $48 million in earnings, and on Sunday he is nominated for two awards: Outstanding Comedy Series and Lead Actor in a Comedy for “Cut It, Larry!”, which ended in April after 24 years. Greg Berlanti, the 10th-highest-paid showrunner with $40 million in earnings, known as a writer and producer of series such as “Dawson's Creek” and various DC Comics series, is nominated for Outstanding TV Movie as a producer of “Red, White & Royal Blue.” Six-time Emmy winners and creators of “Game of Thrones,” David Benioff and DB Weiss, who earned $34 million last year, are again nominated for outstanding drama series, this time for Netflix’s “Three Body Problem.”

Surprising fact

This is the second Primetime Emmy Awards this year, as the ceremony originally scheduled for 2023 was postponed to January due to the Hollywood strikes. Although the date of the ceremony has changed, the entry deadlines for both awards remain the same. The upcoming Emmys will honor shows released between June 1, 2023, and May 31, 2024.

More information

Emmy nominations: “Shogun” leads with 25, “The Bear” reaches record of 23 for comedy series (Forbes)

The highest paid TV showrunners 2024 (Forbes)

Nostalgia reigned supreme at the 75th Emmys, so look forward to more on Sunday: 'West Wing,' 'Happy Days' reunions, 'Family Ties,' 'Murphy Brown' and more (Deadline)