Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Today 9/10: Aim for that 6-0 Taj Bradley trend

Updated: 12:17 p.m. ET, September 10, 2024

In a month, we'll be looking at baseball's postseason. It's the final stretch of the regular season and the Wild Card races couldn't be more exciting with many teams still in the running. I've dived into the prop market for tonight's games and found my 2 best MLB player prop bets to make. Let's break them down while you also check out our MLB Tips for the encounters tonight.

Taj Bradley (TB) over 4.5 goals allowed (-165)

Available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publication

If you're looking for a player prop trending that's on a 6-0 run, look no further. Taj Bradley has been awful in the second half of the season, posting a 10.41 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 5 starts in August and then allowing 4 runs, 6 hits, and 2 home runs in his first start in September. Since the start of August, Bradley has allowed a .339 batting average, .295 xBA, 6% home run rate, and 52% hard hit rate. Bradley has also allowed at least 1 home run in 6 of his last 7 starts, which has been a big reason for his recent struggles.

The right-hander will face the Phillies for the first time in his career, and it won't be easy to limit this Phillies offense. Philadelphia is top-5 in almost every offensive category against right-handed pitchers in September, which makes me confident they can trust Bradley to get some hits, runs, and hopefully even home runs. In summary, this ceiling is way too low. Even the A's were able to break this ceiling a few weeks ago, so I'm confident the Phillies can do it, too.

Rhett Lowder (CIN) under 5.5 hits allowed (-150)

Available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publication

It feels like it was just last year when Rhett Lowder pitched for Wake Forest in the College World Series. Oh, wait, it actually was. Lowder has bounced around the minor leagues, appearing in Single-A, Double-A and Triple-A this season. However, he's spent most of his time in Double-A, considering he only made one start in Triple-A before being promoted to the show. His inexperience hasn't been a problem at the MLB level so far, as he's allowed just 1 run and 6 hits in 10.1 innings.

There's one small problem, though. Lowder has allowed 8 batters to walks relative to his 9 strikeouts. Basically, Lowder is swing-and-miss. He doesn't like to throw to contact and won't give up even when he's behind. That's driven his walk rate up to an absurd 18.2%. But we're not interested in walks – we're talking about hits. In his professional career, Lowder has allowed 6 or more hits in just 6 of his 24 starts. The rookie has allowed 6 or more hits just 6 times in 22 starts in the minors and has never allowed 6 or more hits in his 2 MLB starts. Hopefully he continues to try to strike out the corners and rack up the walks and strikeouts to avoid hits.